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Why Is Synopsys (SNPS) Up 11.1% Since Last Earnings Report?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Synopsys (SNPS). Shares have added about 11.1% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Synopsys due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

Synopsys Reports Solid Q2 Results

Synopsys delivered second-quarter fiscal 2019 non-GAAP earnings of $1.16 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.09. The bottom line was also higher than the year-ago quarter’s figure of $1.08.

Revenues grew 7.6% year over year to $836.2 million and also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $827 million.

Growing demand for advanced technology, design, IP and security solutions is creating a solid market opportunity for Synopsys. Rising impact of AI, 5G, IoT and big data is boosting investments in new compute and machine-learning architectures, which is a tailwind. Further, with the growing need for enhanced security measures, demand for the company’s solutions is shooting up.

However, geo-political challenges coupled with uncertainties hovering around government actions to restrict trade with Huawei are a concern. As a result of the trade ban, management mentioned that the company is unable to book new business and recognition of currently contracted revenues is on hold.

Quarter in Detail

Time-Based Products revenues (66.8% of the total generated) came in at $558.3 million. Upfront revenues (17.1%) were $143.4 million. Maintenance and service revenues (16.1%) were $134.5 million.

Segment wise, Semiconductor & System Design revenues (90% of total) were $753 million, up 5% year over year on the back of strength across the board. Within the segment, EDA revenues were $492.7 million and the same from IP & Systems Integration was $259.2 million. A solid progress in fusion technology and platform roll-out is driving EDA revenues. Notably, Fusion Design Platform, launched last November, is witnessing high demand. This, in turn, helped it generate strong results in the quarter under review.

The company’s Verification Continuum platform steadily witnesses excellent demand and competitive wins. Further, ZeBu Server 4 product is generating a broad-based adoption by customers’ designing storage, networking and AI chips.

Software Integrity revenues grew 23% to 83 million, reaching approximately 10% of the total metric in the reported quarter.

Geographically, Synopsys’ revenues in North America (52% of total) were $433.9 million while Revenues in Europe (10%) were $83.5 million.

Asia Pacific revenues (29%) were $246.1 million whereas revenues in Japan (9%) were $72.7 million.

Per ASC 606, non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%. Semiconductor & System Design delivered an adjusted operating margin of 26.8% while that of Software Integrity came in at 10%.

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Synopsys exited the fiscal second quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $631.2 million compared with $592.3 million at the end of the previous quarter.

During the quarter, the company generated $353 million of cash from operational activities.

The company repurchased its stock worth $100 million, bringing the total so far this year to $129 million.

Guidance

For the fiscal third quarter, the company’s revenues are likely to be in the $810-$850 million band. While non-GAAP costs and expenses are anticipated within $620-$640 million. Management assumes non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.07-$1.12.

The company raised its guidance for earnings and also the top-end of revenues for fiscal 2019. Revenues are now projected in the range of $3.29-$3.35 billion compared with $3.29-$3.34 predicted earlier.

Non-GAAP earnings per share for fiscal 2019 are forecast between $4.24 and $4.40, up from $4.20-$4.27 envisioned earlier.

Double-digit growth in non-GAAP earnings is expected to be driven by revenue growth in high-single-digits, reflecting mid-to-high single digits for EDA, low-double-digits for IP and Software Integrity growth in the 20% range.

The company predicts operating margin to be 24.2% in fiscal 2019. Software Integrity business is assumed to be profitable for the year.

The company estimates to boost its operating margin in the high-20s by 2021 and in the longer-term, within the 30% range.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed an upward trend in fresh estimates. The consensus estimate has shifted -13.38% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

Currently, Synopsys has a nice Growth Score of B, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with a D. Following the exact same course, the stock was allocated a grade of D on the value side, putting it in the bottom 40% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Synopsys has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.


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