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Matador (MTDR) Hits 52-Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Have you been paying attention to shares of Matador Resources (MTDR)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 6.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $28.49 in the previous session. Matador Resources has gained 126.1% since the start of the year compared to the 18.5% move for the Zacks Oils-Energy sector and the 58.2% return for the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 28, 2021, Matador reported EPS of $0.71 versus consensus estimate of $0.39 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 0.09%.

For the current fiscal year, Matador is expected to post earnings of $2.48 per share on $1.26 billion in revenues. This represents a 342.86% change in EPS on a 33.6% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.06 per share on $1.4 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 23.35% and 10.73%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Matador may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Matador has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 11X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 7.4X versus its peer group's average of 3.7X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Matador currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Matador fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Matador shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does Matador Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Matador have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also looking good, including Antero Resources (AR), Goodrich Petroleum (GDP), and Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 21% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Matador, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.

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Matador Resources Company (MTDR): Free Stock Analysis Report
Bonanza Creek Energy, Inc. (BCEI): Free Stock Analysis Report
Goodrich Petroleum Corporation (GDP): Free Stock Analysis Report
Antero Resources Corporation (AR): Free Stock Analysis Report
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