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Steel Dynamics (STLD) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

Shares of Steel Dynamics (STLD) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 9.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $52.72 in the previous session. Steel Dynamics has gained 39.7% since the start of the year compared to the 17.7% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the 34.8% return for the Zacks Steel - Producers industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 19, 2021, Steel Dynamics reported EPS of $2.1 versus consensus estimate of $1.98 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 8.21%.

For the current fiscal year, Steel Dynamics is expected to post earnings of $6.93 per share on $14.01 billion in revenues. This represents a 144.01% change in EPS on a 45.89% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.92 per share on $12.72 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -57.72% and -9.19%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Steel Dynamics may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Steel Dynamics has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 7.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 11.6X versus its peer group's average of 10.1X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.62. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Steel Dynamics currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Steel Dynamics passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Steel Dynamics shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

How Does Steel Dynamics Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Steel Dynamics have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including Aperam (APEMY), POSCO (PKX), and Nucor (NUE), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 2% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Steel Dynamics, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.

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Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD): Free Stock Analysis Report
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